• 2016

Business optimism levels - back to where they were

New Zealand’s business optimism levels are back to where they were 12 months ago, ranking the country 5th out of 36 countries surveyed in Grant Thornton’s latest International Business Report (IBR).

Business optimism in New Zealand lifted dramatically in the last quarter from 44% at the beginning of 2015 to 80% against a global figure which only increased slightly from 33% to 36% in the same period.

“Contributing factors to optimism in New Zealand are high export expectations most likely influenced by the low dollar and global dairy’s recent rise in confidence”, says Paul Kane, Partner, Privately Held Business at Grant Thornton New Zealand.

“New Zealand export expectations have more than doubled since the end of 2014 which is the highest they’ve been in five years; the global average is 15%.

“Thirty-four per cent of Australian businesses also have high export expectations placing them 4th equal with New Zealand out of all the countries surveyed which is really encouraging.

“It means that there’s still a strong appetite for our agricultural products and our local economy continues to grow, it’s also great news for the tourism and education sectors.

“Forty per cent of New Zealand businesses surveyed said they are looking at expanding their operations domestically over the next twelve months”, says Kane.

Optimism is also reflected in profitability expectations with 62% of New Zealand businesses seeing a profit increase in 2016, ranking us sixth in the world and up 29% on the global average of 33%.

New Zealand’s economic uncertainty is also at an all-time low with only 4% of businesses citing it as a major constraint – the lowest out of all countries surveyed. Greece has the highest economic uncertainty (92%); the global average is 38%.

Kane says, “Here in New Zealand, we aren’t suffering the effects of migrant crises, terrorism and political uncertainty that we’re seeing in other economies, which is really fortunate.

“Now is the time for businesses with an instinct for growth to spot emerging opportunities and make the most of this great outlook reported for the next 12 months.”

Further enquiries, please contact:

Paul Kane
Partner, Privately Held Business
Grant Thornton New Zealand
T +64 (0)9 308 2576
E paul.kane@nz.gt.com